Okay I can't say that it will not happen because I could be wrong but I can say that it probably will not happen or it will not happen the way so many futurists have predicted it. How can I say this with certainty? Well I'm not, It's my opinion and like I said I could be wrong.
The primary argument for the technological singularity is Moore's law. Moore's law states that the number of transistors on integrated circuits will double every 18 months. What that means is computer power will double about every 18 months. If this continues then by the middle of this century computers will be smarter than us and as a result of commuters surpassing us a technological singularity will happen. There's a bit more to it than that but I'm mainly dealing with this.
The problem with the singularity idea is that those who promote it ignore the history of predictions of future technologies.
In 1903 The Wright Brothers stuck an engine connected to a propeller onto what amounted to an oddly shaped glider and flew. The first powered aircraft was invented and 66 years later a man stepped out of a lander onto the Moon. Based on this there were predictions of moon bases, missions to mars by the turn of the century, regular civilian space flight by 1999. 3 years after the first manned moon landing the last man to step on the moon got home and no one has been back sense. It has been 41 years sense that last manned moon landing and we are only now on the cusp of civilian space flight and the tickets will cost more than the average asking price for a house[][].
What the fuck happed? How did we go from barely getting off the ground in 1903 to getting to the moon in 1969 to barely getting people into space in foreseeable future? Physical, practical and economic limitations. It costs a lot of money and fuel just to get into a low orbit. To get into orbit cheaply we'd need a completely different way of getting up there.
What does this have to do with the singularity?
























Interesting article about the singularity.
Can you write an article about this as well:
It’s about a new way to treat cancer.