Warming May Cause Crop Failures, Food Shortages by 2030

Warming May Cause Crop Failures, Food Shortages by 2030

Impoverished farmers in South Asia and southern Africa could face growing food shortages due to climate change within just 20 years, a new study says.

Increasing levels of greenhouse gases, including carbon dioxide, are heating up the planet, with droughts and shifting rainfall patterns predicted for many parts of the world.

(See an interactive map of the effects of global warming.)

"The majority of the world's one billion poor depend on agriculture for their livelihoods," said the lead author of the new study, David Lobell of Stanford University.

"Unfortunately, agriculture is also the human enterprise most vulnerable to changes in climate."

Corn, Wheat at Risk

The researchers used computer models to predict changes in temperature and rainfall as the planet warms.

Most of the 12 regions were predicted to warm up about 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit (1 degree Celsius) by 2030—about the same amount of warming that Earth as a whole experienced over the 20th century.

"To identify which crops in which regions are most under threat by 2030, we combined projections of climate change with data on what poor people eat, as well as past relationships between crop harvests and climate variability," Lobell said.

Crop Failures means famine, famines would lead millions of deaths, wars and ethnic cleansing.
As the earth warms, it will cause more and more problems for people around the world, problems with grave consequences.

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